Growth outlook amid global risks

“Energy prices may not return to the February 2026 levels in the near term, even if there is a rapid de-escalation of the conflict in West Asia. Assuming the crude oil price to average US$85/barrel in FY2027, ICRA now projects GDP growth for the coming fiscal at 6.5%, lower than our previous estimate of 7.1%, which had built in crude oil at US$70-75/barrel,” Said Aditi Nayar, chief economist, ICRA Ltd.