Iran War
Trump's Strait of Hormuz blockade threat raises risks and leaves predicaments unchanged
Brief
The conflict is now a test of wills - Iran’s capacity to absorb strikes versus Trump’s tolerance for the war's costs.
Will mine-clearing activities place American naval vessels at greater risk of Iranian attacks? How would the US determine who paid Iran a toll? Will the US use force on foreign-flagged ships that ignore the blockade? How will nations that depend on Iranian oil, like China, respond? Will the move, intended to choke off Iran's primary income stream, drive up the price of oil to even higher levels?
